Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011 0.000012 0.000014 0.000016
2025-03-16 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000014 0.000017 0.000020
2025-03-23 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000015 0.000020 0.000026
2025-03-30 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000031
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000009 0.000012 0.000017 0.000025 0.000038
2025-04-13 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000027 0.000045
2025-04-20 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000019 0.000030 0.000053
2025-04-27 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000020 0.000034 0.000065
2025-05-04 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000021 0.000038 0.000077
2025-05-11 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000043 0.000093
2025-05-18 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000047 0.000110
2025-05-25 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000025 0.000052 0.000131
2025-06-01 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000025 0.000056 0.000153
2025-06-08 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000027 0.000062 0.000184
2025-06-15 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000028 0.000069 0.000222
2025-06-22 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000013 0.000028 0.000073 0.000252
2025-06-29 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000030 0.000080 0.000301
2025-07-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000030 0.000083 0.000336
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000031 0.000091 0.000400
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000033 0.000102 0.000492
2025-07-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000034 0.000110 0.000584
2025-08-03 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000035 0.000122 0.000716
2025-08-10 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000013 0.000037 0.000133 0.000858